The duality of drought: Pelagic- and benthic-spawning stream fishes show opposing responses to drought in the southern Great Plains
This study reveals how drought acts as an environmental filter shaping stream fish communities in the southern Great Plains. Using long‑term data from the upper Brazos River, researchers show pelagic‑spawning minnows decline while benthic‑spawning species increase as drought intensifies, offering insight into future climate‑driven assemblage shifts.
Subject Tags
- Climate impacts
- Watersheds
Abstract
Objective
Streamflow is a primary determinant of fish assemblage structure in riverine systems, but alteration of natural flow regimes can result in fish assemblage shifts through the process of environmental filtering. Because natural drought conditions reduce and homogenize streamflow in a manner comparable to projections for climate change in some regions, drought could serve as a proxy for expected future flow conditions.
Methods
We investigated the effects of drought as a temporally dynamic environmental filter of the occurrence of two guilds of fishes, benthic spawners that deposit adhesive ova along the benthic zone of rivers and pelagic spawners that release semibuoyant, nonadhesive ova into the pelagic zone of rivers. We developed species-specific random forest models to estimate annual probability of occurrence for three benthic-spawning and four pelagic-spawning minnow species at three sites in the upper Brazos River, Texas, for the period 1950–2018. We then used a generalized additive mixed-effects model to assess the relationship between drought intensity and likelihood of occurrence to test whether reproductive modes differed in response to drought (hypothesis 1) and whether response to drought was spatially (hypothesis 2) or temporally (hypothesis 3) variable.
Result
We found support for hypothesis 1 as two of four pelagic-spawning species (Shoal Chub Macrhybopsis hyostoma, Smalleye Shiner Notropis buccula) declined and two of three benthic-spawning species increased as drought intensified, support for hypothesis 2 as responses to drought varied by gauge location, and no support for hypothesis 3 as drought response was consistent for periods 1950–1979 and 1980–2018.
Conclusion
These findings offer insight into the future of riverine fish assemblages as climate change is expected to exacerbate regional drought conditions. Management of pelagic-spawning fishes during extreme drought in the southern Great Plains may require strategies such as (1) rescues of fish from drying reaches, (2) captive holding and propagation, and (3) assisted recolonization following subsidence of drought conditions.
Citation
Nguyen, E., Mayes, K. B., Smith, R., Trungale, J., & Perkin, J. S. (2023). The duality of drought: Pelagic‐and benthic‐spawning stream fishes show opposing responses to drought in the southern Great Plains. North American Journal of Fisheries Management, 43(5), 1276-1293.
TNC Authors
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Ryan Smith
Director of Water and Science
The Nature Conservancy
Email: ryan_smith@TNC.ORG -
Joe Trungale
Senior Freshwater Scientist, CO River Program
The Nature Conservancy
Email: joseph.trungale@TNC.ORG