A horizon scan of global biological conservation issues for 2024

Published Article

Global

Publication date: December 18, 2023

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A global horizon scan identified 15 emerging issues likely to shape conservation, from hydrogen energy and ocean current shifts to DNA printing and food-from-air technologies, highlighting risks and innovations with major impacts on ecosystems and land use.

Subject Tags

  • Biodiversity
  • Large scale protection
  • Policy

Abstract

We present the results of our 15th horizon scan of novel issues that could influence biological conservation in the future. From an initial list of 96 issues, our international panel of scientists and practitioners identified 15 that we consider important for societies worldwide to track and potentially respond to. Issues are novel within conservation or represent a substantial positive or negative step-change with global or regional extents. For example, new sources of hydrogen fuel and changes in deep-sea currents may have profound impacts on marine and terrestrial ecosystems. Technological advances that may be positive include benchtop DNA printers and the industrialisation of approaches that can create high-protein food from air, potentially reducing the pressure on land for food production.

Citation

Sutherland, W.J., Bennett, C., Brotherton, P.N., Butchart, S.H., Butterworth, H.M., Clarke, S.J., Esmail, N., Fleishman, E., Gaston, K.J., Herbert-Read, J.E. and Hughes, A.C., 2024. A horizon scan of global biological conservation issues for 2024. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 39(1), pp.89-100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2023.11.001

TNC Authors

  • Mark D. Spalding
    Senior Marine Scientist
    The Nature Conservancy
    Email: mspalding@tnc.org