Improving conservation efficiency: accelerating groundwater sustainability plan reviews using large language models
This study evaluates how large language models can accelerate reviews of groundwater sustainability plans in California. By comparing AI generated assessments with expert analyses, it demonstrates how LLMs can improve policy evaluation efficiency, support environmental decision making, and expand participation in sustainability and environmental justice efforts.
Subject Tags
- Groundwater
- Conservation Planning
- Data Science and Artificial Intelligence
Abstract
Background
The effective implementation of environmental policy relies on thorough review and public consultation, yet the analysis of lengthy, technical documents is a resource-intensive process that creates a significant barrier to entry for many civil society organizations and overburdened agencies. This analytical bottleneck can limit oversight and hinder the achievement of sustainability and environmental justice goals.
Objective & methods
This study evaluates the potential for Large Language Models (LLMs) to augment human capacity for large-scale policy review. Using an existing assessment of 65 Groundwater Sustainability Plans in California as a case study, we compared the results of several cutting edge LLMs against a comprehensive, multi-year review previously conducted by expert human analysts.
Results
Our method led to a significant acceleration of the review process. The chosen LLM performed an initial analysis of a plan in under two minutes, a 160-fold increase in speed over the eight-hour average for a human expert. The LLM's qualitative assessments achieved a 75.2% agreement rate with the human-led benchmark, demonstrating substantial utility in identifying key policy components and deficiencies.
Conclusion
LLMs represent a transformative tool for the science-policy interface, not as a replacement for human expertise but as a powerful accelerator in a human-in-the-loop system. By drastically reducing the initial effort of document review, this technology can enhance the capacity of organizations to participate in environmental decision-making, helping to overcome persistent bottlenecks in policy monitoring and evaluation. This approach offers a transferable methodological framework that can be adapted to other regions with similar policy review needs.
Citation
Ryan Bernstein, Seneth Waterman, Kirk R. Klausmeyer, Nicholas Murphy, Melissa M. Rohde, Cody Carroll, Improving conservation efficiency: accelerating groundwater sustainability plan reviews using large language models, Environmental Challenges, Volume 24, 2026, 101575, ISSN 2667-0100, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envc.2026.101575.
TNC Authors
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Nicholas Murphy
Senior Groundwater Scientist. California
The Nature Conservancy
Email: nicholas.murphy@tnc.org -
Kirk Klausmeyer
Director of Data Science. California
The Nature Conservancy
Email: kklausmeyer@tnc.org