Chapter 11—Projecting global and regional changes in tropical cyclones and their potential impacts
Tropical cyclones are among the most consequential climate and weather systems influencing human societies. As global temperatures rise, understanding how cyclone frequency, intensity and behavior may change becomes essential for long‑term risk assessment. This work emphasizes the importance of future cyclone projections in evaluating how climate change will affect communities, infrastructure and global vulnerability over the next half‑century. Improved modeling is central to anticipating impacts, guiding adaptation strategies and informing climate‑resilient planning.
Subject Tags
- Climate impacts
Abstract
Tropical cyclones are one of the most important climate and weather features impacting human society. Projecting changes to tropical cyclones in a changing climate is a crucial part of assessing how climate change will affect humanity in the next 50 years and beyond.
Citation
Bacmeister, J., Balaguru, K., Bates, S., Chang, P., Fu, D., Morrison, M., ... & Zarzycki, C. (2025). Projecting global and regional changes in tropical cyclones and their potential impacts. In Tropical Cyclones and Associated Impacts (pp. 223-253). Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-323-95390-0.00011-X
TNC Authors
-
Susan C. Bates
Coastal Science Program Manager, Virginia
The Nature Conservancy
Email: susan.bates@tnc.org