Chapter 11—Projecting global and regional changes in tropical cyclones and their potential impacts

Published Article

Global

Publication date: January 31, 2025

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Tropical cyclones are among the most consequential climate and weather systems influencing human societies. As global temperatures rise, understanding how cyclone frequency, intensity and behavior may change becomes essential for long‑term risk assessment. This work emphasizes the importance of future cyclone projections in evaluating how climate change will affect communities, infrastructure and global vulnerability over the next half‑century. Improved modeling is central to anticipating impacts, guiding adaptation strategies and informing climate‑resilient planning.

Subject Tags

  • Climate impacts

Abstract

Tropical cyclones are one of the most important climate and weather features impacting human society. Projecting changes to tropical cyclones in a changing climate is a crucial part of assessing how climate change will affect humanity in the next 50 years and beyond.

Citation

Bacmeister, J., Balaguru, K., Bates, S., Chang, P., Fu, D., Morrison, M., ... & Zarzycki, C. (2025). Projecting global and regional changes in tropical cyclones and their potential impacts. In Tropical Cyclones and Associated Impacts (pp. 223-253). Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-323-95390-0.00011-X

TNC Authors

  • Susan C. Bates
    Coastal Science Program Manager, Virginia
    The Nature Conservancy
    Email: susan.bates@tnc.org