Half of land use carbon emissions in Southeast Asia can be mitigated through peat swamp forest and mangrove conservation and restoration

Published Article

Indonesia, Myanmar, Asia Pacific

Publication date: January 28, 2025

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Southeast Asia produces nearly one‑third of global land‑use‑change emissions, much of it from degraded peat‑swamp forests and mangroves. Using 2001–2022 data, this study estimates ~691.8 ± 97.2 Tg CO₂e yr⁻¹ emitted from land‑use change in these ecosystems—48% of the region’s total—while secondary regrowth removes only a small fraction. Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar and Vietnam account for over 90% of emissions. Yet restoring degraded peatlands and mangroves could mitigate an additional 94.4 ± 7.4 Tg CO₂e yr⁻¹. Although they cover just 5.4% of Southeast Asia, protecting and restoring these carbon‑dense systems offers substantial climate‑mitigation benefits while supporting biodiversity, livelihoods and ecosystem services.

Subject Tags

  • Climate mitigation
  • Forest
  • Mangroves

Abstract

Southeast Asia (SEA) contributes approximately one-third of global land-use change carbon emissions, a substantial yet highly uncertain part of which is from anthropogenically-modified peat swamp forests (PSFs) and mangroves. Here, we report that between 2001–2022 land-use change impacting PSFs and mangroves in SEA generate approximately 691.8±97.2 teragrams of CO2 equivalent emissions annually (TgCO2eyr−1) or 48% of region’s land-use change emissions, and carbon removal through secondary regrowth of −16.3 ± 2.0 TgCO2eyr−1. Indonesia (73%), Malaysia (14%), Myanmar (7%) and Vietnam (2%) combined accounted for over 90% of regional emissions from these sources. Consequently, great potential exists for emissions reduction through PSFs and mangroves conservation. Moreover, restoring degraded PSFs and mangroves could provide an additional annual mitigation potential of 94.4 ± 7.4 TgCO2eyr−1. Although peatlands and mangroves occupy only 5.4% of SEA land area, restoring and protecting these carbon-dense ecosystems can contribute substantially to climate change mitigation, while maintaining valuable ecosystem services, livelihoods and biodiversity.

Citation

Sasmito, S. D., Taillardat, P., Adinugroho, W. C., Krisnawati, H., Novita, N., Fatoyinbo, L., ... & Lupascu, M. (2025). Half of land use carbon emissions in Southeast Asia can be mitigated through peat swamp forest and mangrove conservation and restoration. Nature Communications, 16(1), 740. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-55892-0

TNC Authors

  • Nisa Novita
    Lead of Peatland Conservation Strategy (MP), Indonesia
    The Nature Conservancy
    Email: nisa.novita@tnc.org