Evaluating ecosystem services in urban salt marshes: Assessing vulnerability to sea-level rise and implications for coastal management

Published Article

Massachusetts

Publication date: October 30, 2024

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A spatio‑temporal framework shows how sea‑level rise reshapes ecosystem services in urban salt marshes. At Belle Isle Marsh, rising seas fragment habitats, reducing carbon storage and wildlife viewing while temporarily boosting fish nursery and nitrogen services, helping guide future adaptation planning.

Subject Tags

  • Carbon storage
  • Coastal
  • Ecosystem management

Abstract

This study presents a spatio-temporal framework that integrates ecosystem services into ecological risk assessment to evaluate the ecosystem service vulnerability of urban salt marshes to sea-level rise. The model was tested at Belle Isle Marsh to quantify and qualify the evolving capacity of urban marshes to continue supplying ecosystem services to an increasing urban populace to the end of the century with focus on carbon storage, nitrogen storage, fish nursery, and Saltmarsh Sparrow viewing. We project that sea-level rise will drive dynamic trade-offs between habitats and ecosystem services over space and time. Ultimately, habitat fragmentation and coversion to open ocean will severely impair carbon storage and wildlife viewing services, while also enhancing short-term fish nursery and nitrogen storage services. This approach offers nuanced understanding of where, when, and how services may interact under future conditions, and enables proactive planning and adaptation to emerging challenges.

Citation

Alemu, J.B., Ofsthun, C., Medley, G., Bowden, A., Cammett, A., Gildesgame, E., Munoz, S.E., Stubbins, A. and Hughes, A.R., 2024. Evaluating ecosystem services in urban salt marshes: Assessing vulnerability to sea-level rise and implications for coastal management. Journal of Environmental Management371, p.123065. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123065

TNC Authors

  • Alison Bowden
    Director of Science and Strategy, Massachusetts
    The Nature Conservancy
    Phone: Phone
    Email: abowden@tnc.org

  • Emma Gildesgame
    Climate Adaptation Director, Massachusetts
    The Nature Conservancy
    Phone: Phone
    Email: emma.gildesgame@tnc.org