From fragmentation to resilience: Connectivity and habitat diversity as drivers of fish persistence in California watersheds

Published Article

California

Publication date: December 23, 2025

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This study evaluates how freshwater resilience factors influence long‑term native fish persistence in California using the Temporal Beta Index and random forest models. Results show that fragmentation from widespread dam construction has significantly altered fish communities, highlighting the need to restore interconnected river networks to support resilient freshwater ecosystems.

Subject Tags

  • Fisheries
  • Ecosystem management

Abstract

This study evaluates how well key elements of freshwater resilience (e.g., hydrographic, physical habitat, and condition variables) explain the persistence of native fish species over time. Using the Temporal Beta Index (TBI), we quantify the change in fish species presence-absence in functionally connected networks within California to determine which watersheds within the network experienced significant changes in fish community composition. Random forest (RF) models were used to explore how the suite of network attributes influenced TBI and how the relationships varied by ecoregion. By integrating historical and contemporary fish distribution records with comprehensive datasets on fish passage barriers, stream habitat typologies, and watershed conditions, the analysis provides evidence that fragmentation—primarily driven by a century of dam construction—has impacted the persistence of fish species throughout the state. These results underscore the importance of maintaining and restoring interconnected river networks to preserve habitat heterogeneity, ensure the continued functionality of freshwater processes, and promote long-term ecological stability amidst ongoing and future environmental challenges. This research provides a framework to evaluate what factors contributed to fish loss in the past, thereby offering insights into enhancing the resilience of freshwater ecosystems and persistence of freshwater species into the future.

Citation

Howard, J. K., Barnett, A. R., Fesenmyer, K. A., & Anderson, M. G. (2025). From fragmentation to resilience: Connectivity and habitat diversity as drivers of fish persistence in California watersheds. PLoS One20(12), e0339212.

TNC Authors

  • Mark G. Anderson
    Assoc. Dir., Conservation Application Development Information Technology
    The Nature Conservancy
    Email: manderson@tnc.org

  • Analie R. Barnett
    Landscape Ecologist. North America Office
    The Nature Conservancy
    Email: abarnett@tnc.org

  • Kurt A. Fesenmyer
    NCS Spatial Data Scientist. Tackle Climate Change
    The Nature Conservancy
    Email: kurt.fesenmyer@tnc.org

  • Jeanette K. Howard
    The Nature Conservancy